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The US will experience a recession in 2024 driven by consumer debt.

Michael Burry·June 2026
False— Resolved June 10, 2026
How we verified this claim
The US economy grew throughout 2024, with GDP expanding each quarter and unemployment remaining near historical lows. No recession materialized despite elevated consumer debt levels.
How we reached this verdict
The US economy grew throughout 2024, with GDP expanding each quarter and unemployment remaining near historical lows. No recession materialized despite elevated consumer debt levels.
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