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Progressive criminal justice reform policies will cause measurable increases in violent crime in major US cities by 2024.

Ben Shapiro·June 2026
⚖️Partially True— Resolved June 10, 2026
How we verified this claim
Some Democrat-led cities saw crime increases in 2020-2023, though trends reversed in several cities by 2024. The causal link between specific reform policies and crime rates remains debated among criminologists.
How we reached this verdict
Some Democrat-led cities saw crime increases in 2020-2023, though trends reversed in several cities by 2024. The causal link between specific reform policies and crime rates remains debated among criminologists.
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